12 Horses Racing · Verified Selections
The Record
Every selection below was issued before its race was run. A play counts as a winner only when the payoff cleared our value floor — a horse that won at short odds is recorded as a miss even where money came back. The discipline is counted honestly, not flattered.
Since Inception
3 weekends · 40 plays · 19 winners · 47.5% hit rate
Tier I — win bets only
Outlay$244.00
Returned$413.52
Net+$169.52
+69.5%Return on Investment
Tier II — win + exacta ladder
Outlay$2,682.00
Returned$5,471.67
Net+$2,789.67
+104.0%Return on Investment
Weekend Three
July 17 & 18, 2026 · 6 winners from 15 plays · 40.0%
Friday, July 17 — 3 of 5
W
SaratogaR1
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · turf 5½f
$28.40win
$1 exacta $90.15× 4 captured
$360.60
W
Ellis ParkR4
Claiming · dirt 6½f
$35.20win
$1 exacta $153.84× 5 captured
$769.20
—
Monmouth ParkR3
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · dirt 5f
$6.60miss
below floor
—
EvangelineR4
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · dirt 5f
$5.00miss
below floor
W
EvangelineR6
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · dirt 5f · flex race
$11.00win
$1 exacta $33.10× 5 captured
$165.50
Friday, July 17
Tier I — win bets only
Outlay$32.00
Returned$74.60
Net+$42.60
+133.1%Return on Investment
Tier II — win + exacta ladder
Outlay$352.00
Returned$1,369.90
Net+$1,017.90
+289.2%Return on Investment
Saturday, July 18 — 3 of 10
—
Colonial DownsR3
Allowance · turf 5½f
$10.00miss
below floor
—
SaratogaR5
Grade I · turf 1 mile
$6.58miss
below floor
W
Monmouth ParkR8
Alw. Opt. Clm. · dirt 6f
$13.80win
$1 exacta $142.30× 1 captured
$142.30
—
Colonial DownsR7
Alw. Opt. Clm. · turf 5½f
$6.00miss
below floor
—
Monmouth ParkR11
Grade II · United Nations · turf 1 mile
$3.80miss
below floor
W
SaratogaR11
Alw. Opt. Clm. · turf 1 1/16 mi
$16.34win
$1 exacta $73.81× 1 captured
$73.81
—
EvangelineR3
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · dirt 5f
$5.60miss
below floor
—
Monmouth ParkR14
Alw. Opt. Clm. · dirt 6f
$3.80miss
below floor
W
SaratogaR12
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · turf 5½f
$30.58win
$1 exacta $101.16× 4 captured
$404.64
—
Charles TownR4
Claiming · dirt 7f
$4.20miss
below floor
—
Delaware ParkR5
Optional Clmg. · turf 1 1/16 mi
void
card cancelled — rain
Saturday, July 18 · Delaware R5 voided (rain), not counted
Tier I — win bets only
Outlay$60.00
Returned$60.72
Net+$0.72
+1.2%Return on Investment
Tier II — win + exacta ladder
Outlay$660.00
Returned$681.47
Net+$21.47
+3.3%Return on Investment
The Weekend — Both Cards
Tier I — win bets only
Outlay$92.00
Returned$135.32
Net+$43.32
+47.1%Return on Investment
Tier II — win + exacta ladder
Outlay$1,012.00
Returned$2,051.37
Net+$1,039.37
+102.7%Return on Investment
The floor holds on a cold day
Forty percent is a modest hit rate — and both cards still finished green on both days. Saturday was the stress test: a cold thirty-percent afternoon, and Tier I cleared it while Tier II held a profit. That is the whole thesis in a single weekend — the win rate need not be high when the winners pay and the structure multiplies.
Friday’s Ellis Park alone — a $35.20 winner into a $769 exacta — carried every losing race across both days.
Weekend Two
July 10 & 11, 2026 · 9 winners from 13 plays · 69.2%
Friday, July 10 — 3 of 6
W
Indiana GrandR5
Allowance · turf 1 mile
$15.80win
$1 exacta $22.50× 6 captured
$135.00
W
Delaware ParkR5
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · turf 7½f
$14.80win
$1 exacta $44.20× 1 captured
$44.20
—
Indiana GrandR6
Allowance · dirt 6f
$4.00miss
below floor
—
SaratogaR4
Alw. Opt. Clm. · turf 1 1/16 mi
$6.48miss
below floor
—
Colonial DownsR7
Allowance · turf 5½f
$7.60miss
below floor
W
EvangelineR5
Claiming · dirt 7f
$12.20win
$1 exacta $96.80× 1 captured
$96.80
Friday, July 10
Tier I — win bets only
Outlay$36.00
Returned$42.80
Net+$6.80
+18.9%Return on Investment
Tier II — win + exacta ladder
Outlay$396.00
Returned$318.80
Net−$77.20
−19.5%Return on Investment
Saturday, July 11 — 6 of 7
W
Indiana GrandR1
Allowance · dirt 6f
$13.00win
$1 exacta $76.30× 1 captured
$76.30
—
Indiana GrandR5
Nongraded Stk · dirt 6f
$2.10miss
below floor
W
Delaware ParkR5
Optional Clmg. · turf 1 1/16 mi
$12.00win
$1 exacta $25.00× 4 captured
$100.00
W
SaratogaR5
Grade II · turf 5½f
$12.62win
$1 exacta $23.67× 4 captured
$94.68
W
FairmountR5
Alw. Opt. Clm. · dirt 6f
$17.80win
$1 exacta $34.50× 6 captured
$207.00
W
Indiana GrandR7
Nongraded Stk · dirt 6f
$27.00win
$1 exacta $54.70× 6 captured
$328.20
W
SaratogaR11
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · turf 1 1/16 mi
$27.94win
$1 exacta $62.56× 6 captured
$375.36
Saturday, July 11
Tier I — win bets only
Outlay$42.00
Returned$110.36
Net+$68.36
+162.8%Return on Investment
Tier II — win + exacta ladder
Outlay$468.00
Returned$1,291.90
Net+$823.90
+176.0%Return on Investment
The Weekend — Both Cards
Tier I — win bets only
Outlay$78.00
Returned$153.16
Net+$75.16
+96.4%Return on Investment
Tier II — win + exacta ladder
Outlay$864.00
Returned$1,610.70
Net+$746.70
+86.4%Return on Investment
Why we sell weekends, not days
Friday’s three winners all paid barely over the floor — $15.80, $14.80, $12.20. Enough to keep the win bets green; not enough to carry the exacta ladder. Tier II finished Friday at −19.5%.
Saturday the same architecture met a $27.00 and a $27.94. The exactas returned $1,181 against $420 laid out. Tier II finished Saturday at +176.0%.
A subscriber who bought Friday alone would have been disappointed. One who bought the weekend took +$746.70. A weak day and a strong day are two halves of one position — not two verdicts.
Weekend One
July 3 & 4, 2026 · 4 winners from 12 plays · 33.3%
Friday, July 3 — 1 of 5
—
EvangelineR3
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · dirt 5f
$3.00miss
below floor
—
EvangelineR6
Optional Clmg. · turf 1 mile
$10.00miss
below floor
—
Louisiana DownsR1
Claiming · turf 7½f
$7.20miss
below floor
—
WoodbineR5
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · turf 7½f
$5.50miss
below floor
W
WoodbineR7
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · turf 7½f
$30.20win
$1 exacta $99.35× 5 captured
$496.75
Friday, July 3
Tier I — win bets only
Outlay$30.00
Returned$30.20
Net+$0.20
+0.7%Return on Investment
Tier II — win + exacta ladder
Outlay$330.00
Returned$526.95
Net+$196.95
+59.7%Return on Investment
Saturday, July 4 — 3 of 7
—
SaratogaR3
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · turf 1 1/16 mi
$5.20miss
below floor
W
SaratogaR7
Belmont Oaks · Grade 1
$48.66win+ $18.28 place
$1 exacta $178.67× 5 captured
$893.35
W
SaratogaR9
Belmont Derby · Grade 1
$16.80win
$1 exacta $47.74× 4 captured
$190.96
—
SaratogaR11
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · turf 1 1/16 mi
$6.38miss
below floor
—
EvangelineR1
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · dirt 5f
$3.80miss
below floor
—
EvangelineR6
Optional Clmg. · turf 1 mile
$3.20miss
below floor
W
WoodbineR8
Mdn. Sp. Wt. · turf 1 mile
$11.10win
$1 exacta $17.25× 6 captured
$103.50
Saturday, July 4
Tier I — win bets only
Outlay$44.00
Returned$94.84
Net+$50.84
+115.5%Return on Investment
Tier II — win + exacta ladder
Outlay$476.00
Returned$1,282.65
Net+$806.65
+169.5%Return on Investment
The Weekend — Both Cards
Tier I — win bets only
Outlay$74.00
Returned$125.04
Net+$51.04
+69.0%Return on Investment
Tier II — win + exacta ladder
Outlay$806.00
Returned$1,809.60
Net+$1,003.60
+124.5%Return on Investment
The other face of the same coin
A third of the plays won — and Tier II still returned better than double what it cost, carried by a $48.66 bomb in the Grade 1 Belmont Oaks. Weekend Two hit at nearly seventy percent on shorter prices and returned nearly as much.
Two very different weekends. Both profitable. That is what the method is built to do.
How each figure is built
Every play is priced the same way, so you can see exactly how the money goes down. Tier I is three $2 win bets per race — $6 a race — plus a $2 place bet on any selection going off at 20‑1 or higher. Tier II keeps those win bets and adds the exacta, built on a $1 basis — $66 a race. On a winning row, the exacta reads as the number of winning $1 combinations × the $1 payoff = the total returned — so “6 × $22.50” is six winning dollar combinations at $22.50 apiece, $135.00 back. Figures are reference units; you size to your own comfort.
Two Weekend One races were postponed to Sunday by track scheduling and are shown on the Friday card where they were selected. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Must be 21 or older.
12 Horses Racing · James R. Long, Analyst